normalcy bias
/ˈnɔːrməlsi ˌbaɪəs/
underestimating the likelihood and impact of disasters
normalcy bias in a sentence
“Normalcy bias kept residents from evacuating despite clear warnings.”
Origin of normalcy bias
Latin normalis made according to rule + bias
Related Words
survivorship bias
focusing on successes while overlooking failures
clustering illusion
seeing patterns in random data
outcome bias
judging a decision by its result rather than by the quality of the decision
selection bias
distortion from non-random sample selection
belief perseverance
maintaining beliefs despite contradictory evidence
base rate neglect
ignoring general prevalence when evaluating specific probabilities