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Epistemics & Uncertainty·Technology & Systems
known unknowns

known unknowns

/ˌnoʊn ʌnˈnoʊnz/

🎯 Epistemics & Uncertainty

things we are aware we don't know

known unknowns in a sentence

“Planning for known unknowns is easier than for unknown unknowns.”

Origin of known unknowns

Popularized by Donald Rumsfeld (2002)

Related Words

Knightian uncertainty

uncertainty that cannot be quantified with probabilities

overconfidence

having more certainty than warranted by evidence

calibration

the alignment between confidence levels and actual accuracy

epistemic humility

acknowledging the limits of one's own knowledge

hedging

qualifying statements to acknowledge uncertainty

confabulation

producing false information without intent to deceive; filling gaps

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